Sunday, February 24, 2008

Lebanon LIngers




The Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri recently announced a further delay in presidential elections which was scheduled to be held on October 23. The Lebanese president is elected by Parliament, not by popular vote. So far, the ruling coalition & the opposition led by Shiite party Hezbollah have been unable to reach a consensus on a candidate. According to many observers, if the 128-member Parliament fails to elect a successor to President Emile Lahoud before his term ends on November 24, the consequences would be unpredictable. Though the speaker has announced that a new parliamentary session has been scheduled from November 12, not many are hopeful that the election would be carried out smoothly.

The differences between the pro-Western government of Prime Minister Fuad Saniora & the powerful opposition Hezbollah have paralysed the government for past 11 months. Given the ground situation, it is illogical to assume that Hezbollah would support the Saniora Government to elect a president of its choice. Similarly, the government too will not settle for a pro-Syrian candidate supported by Hezbollah. The West, which is looking for an opportunity to further isolate Syria in the region, has jumped onto the scene accusing Syria of deliberately attempting to block the Lebanese elections. “Lebanon is sitting on a powder keg; undue interference of Syria has made the situation volatile. There is a planned conspiracy to pull down a democratically elected government. There is a need for dismantling the Syrian apparatus first; elections can wait....” Ziad K. Abdelnour, editor of Middle East Intelligence Bulletin told B&E.

It is now the Lebanese population which can stop the country from becoming a theatre of war between Western style liberal democracy & the political Islamist world view.

(Published in Business & Economy, 15/11/07)

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